Milchmädchenrechnung

Milchmädchenrechnung: When you draw a naïve, oversimplified conclusion that ignores key factors, Germans will say you are making a “milkmaid’s calculation.”

literally: “Milkmaid’s calculation” / meaning: a naive conclusion that turns out to be wrong

Your bargain just got pricier. You drove 120 km for a half-price haircut, then fed your savings to the fuel pump and a roadside bratwurst. That, dear spreadsheet romantics, is a textbook Milchmädchenrechnung—math that looks tidy until reality sends the bill. Germans use this term for an assumption or calculation that seems logical at first glance but turns out to be a fallacy on closer inspection. 

The expression goes back to the tale of “The Milkmaid and the Milk Jug” by French fabulist Jean de La Fontaine. It is about a young farmer’s maid who went to the market in the morning to sell milk. On the long walk, she started imagining all the things she could afford to do with the earnings—especially if she reinvested them. She got so caught up in her dreams that she tripped and spilled all the milk on the floor. So, all the poor girl’s plans became null and void.

Moral of the story: if your math only works on paper, don’t be surprised when reality spills the milk. Bonus points if you at least get a decent haircut out of it. And a bratwurst. 

https://de.wikipedia.org/wiki/Milchmädchenrechnung

 

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